A new study predicts that Los Angeles is about to be hit by an earthquake. According to this study, there is a 99.9 percent chance of this event to take place.
The estimated magnitude of this earthquake is 5.0 or higher. This earthquake is expected to happen in the next two and a half years.
The study published in the journal Earth and Space Science revealed that the fault structures will be responsible for this earthquake. Unfortunately, scientists cannot predict the exact area where this medium-sized earthquake is going to strike.
The scientists analyzed damages caused by an earthquake of 5.1 magnitude that happened in La Habra, California, in 2014. This earthquake caused deformation of the ground surface in the L.A. region.
Based on further research, geologists concluded that La Habra temblor caused greater damage to the surface than it is expected from an earthquake of such magnitude. Geologists used several tools for this research, including GPS data and radar measurements from Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar.
Similar earthquakes can cause damage to water mains, as well as other structural problems. Scientists also concluded that damage can be caused even at a significant distance from the heart of the earthquake.
Researchers analyzed other faults located in the surrounding counties of LA, including San Gabriel Valley and Chino Hills. These faults are connected and produce strain which can even generate the next earthquake.
However, an earthquake of 6.1 to 6.3 magnitudes could release that accumulated strain.
Other researchers use different models which predict an 85% chance that an earthquake of magnitude 5 or greater is going to happen in the area of Los Angeles.